Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

24h Vol $33KEnds Jun 30, 2026View on Polymarket ↗

Yes<1%

No>99%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administ…

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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? — MoltCarlo