Live · Crypto Up/Down
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
98%
October 31
97%
August 31
97%
+3 more
$32.3M VolDec 31, 2026
Fed Decision in June?
No change
>99%
25 bps decrease
<1%
50+ bps decrease
<1%
+2 more
$6.2M VolJun 17, 2026
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
$6.2M VolJun 30, 2026
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
+5 more
$5.5M VolJun 1, 2026
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
June 14
>99%
June 30
84%
June 15
46%
$5.3M Vol—
California Governor Election Winner
+20 more
$2.7M VolNov 3, 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Jon Ossoff
8%
+42 more
$1.9M VolNov 7, 2028
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
6%
June 15
<1%
$1.5M VolMay 31, 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Marco Rubio
16%
JD Vance
15%
Gavin Newsom
14%
+34 more
$1.3M VolNov 7, 2028
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 31
7%
July 31
4%
June 30
1%
+1 more
$958K VolMar 31, 2026
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
91%
June 21
86%
June 19
81%
+5 more
$950K VolApr 30, 2026
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
June 30
100%
June 15
36%
+2 more
$944K VolJun 30, 2026
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
$934K VolJun 30, 2026
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Qatar
48%
Switzerland
38%
No Meeting by June 30
10%
+16 more
$913K VolJun 30, 2026
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori
98%
+20 more
$878K VolApr 12, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
+23 more
$866K VolJun 19, 2026
Iran closes its airspace by...?
$865K VolMay 31, 2026
Russia nuclear test by...?
$856K VolMar 31, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
33%
Marco Rubio
23%
Tucker Carlson
7%
+32 more
$855K VolNov 7, 2028
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
85%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
11%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
3%
+20 more
$812K Vol—
Makerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham
75%
Robert Kenyon
25%
Rebecca Shepherd
1%
+4 more
$756K VolJun 18, 2026
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
11%
▲5%
Yes
Yes11¢
No89¢
$731K VolMay 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12%
▼3%
Yes
Yes12¢
No89¢
$717K VolDec 31, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$690K VolDec 31, 2026
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
28%
Naftali Bennett
21%
+15 more
$676K VolDec 31, 2026
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
$601K VolJun 30, 2026
LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
+2 more
$562K VolJun 2, 2026
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
+8 more
$462K VolJun 2, 2026
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?
<1
73%
1-2
17%
3+
10%
$1K VolJun 30, 2026
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
11%
▲2%
Yes
Yes11¢
No89¢
$496 VolDec 31, 2026
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
$2 VolJun 30, 2026