Economy · 13 markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

24h Vol $681KEnds Dec 31, 2026View on Polymarket ↗

Outcomes

0 (0 bps)

$120K Vol

80%

1 (25 bps)

$73K Vol

15%

2 (50 bps)

$87K Vol

3 (75 bps)

$116K Vol

6 (150 bps)

$29K Vol

<1%

4 (100 bps)

$36K Vol

<1%

12+ (300+ bps)

$28K Vol

<1%

5 (125 bps)

$21K Vol

<1%

10 (250 bps)

$47K Vol

<1%

11 (275 bps)

$43K Vol

<1%

9 (225 bps)

$36K Vol

<1%

8 (200 bps)

$29K Vol

<1%

7 (175 bps)

$17K Vol

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts…

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